What we know

What we know: A referendum on Trump, election monitors and a Democratic shift: What to watch on Election Day

Compiled Nov 3

What we know

President Trump has repeatedly told supporters to pretend he's on the ballot this Election Day, though he is not actually running
More than 50 million Americans had already voted before Election Day
Republicans hold a 220-215 House majority and 53-47 Senate majority heading into the midterms
Since World War II, the House and Senate have flipped from one party to the other in the same midterm only three times: 1946, 1994 and 2006
Trump's Department of Justice is sending about 1,000 staff to observe voting on Election Day
A judge rejected the Justice Department's lawsuit seeking to block certification of Alaska's Senate race
The Trump administration tried and failed to block California from counting 20,000 ballots from people it identified as 'likely' noncitizens
Maryland's Wes Moore is currently the only Black governor in the United States

The Trump administration says it has 'no current plans' to dispatch federal immigration agents or the National Guard to polling places, though observers fear this could happen
It's unclear how big a swing there could be in the House given redistricting and partisan geographic divides
Whether redistricting will end up being a clear Republican benefit or backfire due to unintended consequences won't be known until results come in
Whether Hispanic, Black and younger voters who swung toward Trump in 2024 will now rebuke him is still to be determined

Will Democrats win majorities in the House and/or Senate?
Will Trump or his administration interfere with the voting process on Election Day?
Will redistricting ultimately help or hurt Republicans once results come in?
Will minority and younger voters who backed Trump in 2024 vote against his party this time?

Drawn from the Associated Press report. “What we don’t know” lists only what the reporting itself flags as unresolved.