After Trump's midterm rout, Europe sees cracks in populist right. It may not stop France’s Le Pen

Since April, voters have ousted Hungary's Viktor Orbán, ended Aleksandar Vučić's grip on Serbia, and blocked the Bolsonaro family's return in Brazil.

Marine Le Pen is the front-runner in France's presidential election six months away.

Nationalist or anti-immigration parties have suffered at least eight national election setbacks in roughly 18 months, including Romania, Netherlands, Portugal, Hungary, Sweden, Serbia, Brazil and the US.

Portugal's moderate Socialist António José Seguro beat hard-right populist André Ventura by two to one.

2024: Every governing party facing a national election in a developed country lost vote share, per ParlGov · Since April: Voters ousted Hungary's Orbán, ended Vučić's grip on Serbia, blocked Bolsonaro family's return in Brazil · September: AfD took a record 43.8% in Saxony-Anhalt's state election · Last month: Serbia's Vučić conceded defeat to a student-led protest movement; Brazil's Lula narrowly beat Flávio Bolsonaro · Last week: France's Senate approved a bill allowing fines for joining violent groups, a long-held Le Pen idea · Now: U.S. midterms produce a Republican rout, prompting Europe to question the populist right's momentum

16 years Orbán's time in power · 8 national election setbacks · 10,000 euros ($11,200) potential fine · 43.8% AfD vote share · 11 seats seats lost

Whether France's highest court will rule against Le Pen's embezzlement conviction appeal, which could bar her from running or force her to campaign with an electronic tag.