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A referendum on Trump, election monitors and a Democratic shift: What to watch on Election Day
Compiled Nov 3

What happened
President Trump has repeatedly told supporters to pretend he's on the ballot this Election Day, though he is not actually running
The detail
More than 50 million Americans had already voted before Election Day
The detail
Republicans hold a 220-215 House majority and 53-47 Senate majority heading into the midterms
The detail
Since World War II, the House and Senate have flipped from one party to the other in the same midterm only three times: 1946, 1994 and 2006
How it unfolded
1946, 1994, 2006: The only three times since World War II that the House and Senate have flipped from one party to the other in the same midterm · 2016 and 2024: Elections in which Trump's base of white working-class voters fueled his presidential victories · last year: Trump pushed Texas to redraw its congressional boundaries, prompting other states to follow · this spring: Florida redrew its 22nd and 25th Districts, intended as Republican pickups · recent days: Trump administration hinted at federal intervention in Alaska after a judge rejected a DOJ lawsuit over the Senate race · Tuesday: Election Day, when midterm results will be decided
By the numbers
50 million+ early votes cast · 1,000 DOJ staff deployed · 20,000 disputed California ballots · 220-215 current House margin · 53-47 current Senate margin
Still unresolved
The Trump administration says it has 'no current plans' to dispatch federal immigration agents or the National Guard to polling places, though observers fear this could happen

