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A referendum on Trump, election monitors and a Democratic shift: What to watch on Election Day

Compiled Nov 3

Takeaways: Voters punish Trump, and the GOP suffers historic losses
Takeaways: Voters punish Trump, and the GOP suffers historic losses · Photo: The Associated Press
1

What happened

President Trump has repeatedly told supporters to pretend he's on the ballot this Election Day, though he is not actually running

2

The detail

More than 50 million Americans had already voted before Election Day

3

The detail

Republicans hold a 220-215 House majority and 53-47 Senate majority heading into the midterms

4

The detail

Since World War II, the House and Senate have flipped from one party to the other in the same midterm only three times: 1946, 1994 and 2006

5

How it unfolded

1946, 1994, 2006: The only three times since World War II that the House and Senate have flipped from one party to the other in the same midterm · 2016 and 2024: Elections in which Trump's base of white working-class voters fueled his presidential victories · last year: Trump pushed Texas to redraw its congressional boundaries, prompting other states to follow · this spring: Florida redrew its 22nd and 25th Districts, intended as Republican pickups · recent days: Trump administration hinted at federal intervention in Alaska after a judge rejected a DOJ lawsuit over the Senate race · Tuesday: Election Day, when midterm results will be decided

6

By the numbers

50 million+ early votes cast · 1,000 DOJ staff deployed · 20,000 disputed California ballots · 220-215 current House margin · 53-47 current Senate margin

7

Still unresolved

The Trump administration says it has 'no current plans' to dispatch federal immigration agents or the National Guard to polling places, though observers fear this could happen

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